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EB-1A vs EB-2 NIW: approval rates, backlogs and Visa Bulletin waits

USCIS data through FY2026 Q3 (Apr-Jun 2026), October 2026 bulletin

Both routes let you file Form I-140 for yourself, without an employer and without PERM. They differ in the standard you must meet, in how USCIS has decided cases and, above all, in the Visa Bulletin line you join after approval.
USCIS data to FY2026 Q3October 2026 bulletinSources: USCIS, U.S. Department of State

How do the two routes differ?

EB-1AEB-2 NIW
Preference categoryEB-1 (first preference)EB-2 (second preference)
Who qualifiesExtraordinary ability in the sciences, arts, education, business or athletics, shown by sustained national or international acclaim (USCIS)An advanced degree or exceptional ability, plus a waiver of the job offer in the national interest (USCIS)
EvidenceA one-time major award, or at least 3 of the 10 listed criteriaThe three-part national interest test USCIS applies (Matter of Dhanasar)
Employer or PERM neededNo, you can file for yourselfNo, you can file for yourself
Premium processing limit15 business days45 business days
Premium processing fee$2,965$2,965

Which is approved more often?

EB-1A approval rate

32.2%

FY2026 Q3

EB-2 NIW approval rate

55.3%

FY2026 Q3

EB-1A decisions

4,180

FY2026 Q3

NIW decisions

6,938

FY2026 Q3

32%43%54%66%77%FY2024 Q1FY2024 Q3FY2025 Q1FY2025 Q3FY2026 Q1FY2026 Q3
EB-1A (E11)EB-2 NIW
QuarterEB-1AEB-2 NIW
FY2026 Q332.2%55.3%
FY2026 Q241.8%48.1%
FY2026 Q147.5%42.5%
FY2025 Q453.4%35.7%
FY2025 Q366.5%54.0%
FY2025 Q272.7%67.3%
FY2025 Q174.7%62.7%
FY2024 Q474.4%61.2%
FY2024 Q370.0%68.2%
FY2024 Q271.1%75.8%
FY2024 Q173.3%76.7%

Approval rate = approvals ÷ (approvals + denials) in the quarter. It is not the chance for one case: it mixes strong and weak filings and changes with USCIS policy.

How many cases are pending?

EB-1AEB-2 NIW
Received4,704 → 6,03614,264 → 13,831
Approved2,928 → 1,3487,996 → 3,835
Denied1,067 → 2,8322,423 → 3,103
Pending8,088 → 28,87422,756 → 96,297

Each cell shows FY2024 Q1 → FY2026 Q3. Received, approved and denied are counts for the quarter; pending is the count at the end of it.

How long is the wait after approval?

An approved I-140 still needs a visa number. The wait depends on the Visa Bulletin cutoff for your category and country of birth: EB-1 for EB-1A, EB-2 for NIW. Final action dates in the October 2026 bulletin, and how many years (yrs) each sits behind the bulletin month (none when the category is current):

Born inEB-1BehindEB-2Behind
All other countriesCurrentnoneJan 1, 20251.8 yrs
IndiaFeb 1, 20233.7 yrsNov 1, 201312.9 yrs
ChinaJul 1, 20233.3 yrsOct 1, 20215.0 yrs
MexicoCurrentnoneJan 1, 20251.8 yrs
PhilippinesCurrentnoneJan 1, 20251.8 yrs

Approved petitions waiting for a visa (June 2026)

Country of birthEB-1EB-2
India17,861356,360
China14,10134,936

For people born in Mexico, the Philippines and all other countries, USCIS's June 2026 report shows 0 in both columns. It counts approved petitions whose priority date was not yet current on the June 2026 final action chart, so it can differ from the October cutoffs above.

What does the data show?

Which route fits a case depends on the evidence; this page compares published data and is not legal advice.

FAQ

Which has the higher approval rate, EB-1A or EB-2 NIW?

In FY2026 Q3 (Apr-Jun 2026), USCIS approved 32.2% of EB-1A (E11) I-140 decisions and 55.3% of EB-2 NIW decisions. Rates are approvals divided by approvals plus denials in the quarter, from USCIS's quarterly I-140 report.

Is premium processing faster for EB-1A or NIW?

For EB-1A, USCIS commits to act within 15 business days; for EB-2 NIW, within 45 business days. The fee is $2,965 for both. "Act" can be an approval, a denial, or a request for evidence.

Which route has the shorter wait after approval?

It depends on the country of birth. In the October 2026 bulletin the EB-1 final action date for all other countries was Current and EB-2 was Jan 1, 2025; for India, EB-1 was Feb 1, 2023 and EB-2 Nov 1, 2013.

Sources

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This guide reports published government data and rules; it is not legal advice and does not predict future movement. Terms.